Source code for skfolio.descriptor._dividend_yield._forward_dividend_to_price

"""Forward dividend-to-price ratio descriptor."""

# Copyright (c) 2023-2026
# Author: Hugo Delatte <hugo.delatte@skfoliolabs.com>
# SPDX-License-Identifier: BSD-3-Clause

from __future__ import annotations

import numpy as np

from skfolio.containers import AssetPanel
from skfolio.descriptor._base import BaseDescriptor
from skfolio.typing import FloatArray
from skfolio.utils.stats import safe_divide
from skfolio.utils.validation import validate_asset_panel


[docs] class ForwardDividendToPrice(BaseDescriptor, stateless=True): r"""Forward dividend-to-price ratio descriptor. Computes the ratio of consensus forward twelve-month dividend per share to split-adjusted close price: .. math:: \text{forward\_dividend\_to\_price}(t) = \frac{\text{dps\_ntm}(t)}{\text{adj\_close}(t)} Forward dividend-to-price captures the expected income yield based on analyst consensus forecasts. Because it incorporates forward-looking estimates rather than trailing accounting data, it reacts more quickly to dividend initiations, cuts or policy changes. A high ratio identifies firms where analysts expect generous payouts relative to the current price. Parameters ---------- None Attributes ---------- n_assets_ : int Number of assets seen during fitting. asset_names_ : ndarray of shape (n_assets,) Asset names seen during fitting. Notes ----- Unlike `DividendToPrice`, which uses aggregate fundamentals divided by `market_cap`, this descriptor uses per-share quantities (`dps_ntm / adj_close`). Consensus estimates from data providers are typically delivered as per-share forecasts, making per-share the primary form. `dps_ntm` should use the same split-adjustment basis as `adj_close`. The aggregate equivalent is: .. math:: \frac{\text{dps\_ntm}}{\text{adj\_close}} = \frac{\text{dps\_ntm} \times \text{shares\_out}} {\text{adj\_close} \times \text{shares\_out}} = \frac{\text{forward\_dividends\_ntm}}{\text{market\_cap}} See Also -------- DividendToPrice : Trailing (historical) dividend yield. Examples -------- >>> from skfolio.datasets import make_synthetic_characteristics >>> from skfolio.descriptor import ForwardDividendToPrice >>> >>> X = make_synthetic_characteristics() >>> >>> descriptor = ForwardDividendToPrice() >>> forward_dividend_to_price = descriptor.fit_transform(X) """
[docs] def fit_transform(self, X: AssetPanel, y=None, **fit_params) -> FloatArray: """Compute forward dividend-to-price ratios. Parameters ---------- X : AssetPanel Input panel containing `dps_ntm` and `adj_close`. y : None Ignored. Present for compatibility with scikit-learn's API. **fit_params : dict Additional fit parameters. Ignored. Returns ------- forward_dividend_to_price : ndarray of shape (n_observations, n_assets) Forward dividend-to-price ratio for each observation and asset. """ validate_asset_panel( self, X, required_fields=["dps_ntm", "adj_close"], non_negative_or_nan=["dps_ntm"], strictly_positive_or_nan=["adj_close"], ) return safe_divide(X["dps_ntm"], X["adj_close"], fill_value=np.nan)