skfolio.descriptor.EWResidualDownsideVolatility#

class skfolio.descriptor.EWResidualDownsideVolatility(half_life=40.0, beta_half_life=60.0, min_acceptable_return=0.0, min_periods=None, eps=1e-12)[source]#

Exponentially weighted downside CAPM residual volatility descriptor.

Computes downside volatility of CAPM residuals with an EWMA variance estimate. Only residuals below the min_acceptable_return threshold contribute:

\[ \begin{aligned} \epsilon_i(t) &= r_i(t) - \hat\beta_i(t) \cdot r_m(t) \\[0.75em] D_i(t) &= \min(\epsilon_i(t) - \text{mar},\; 0) \\[0.75em] S_{\text{down},i}(t) &= \lambda_v \cdot S_{\text{down},i}(t-1) + (1 - \lambda_v) \cdot D_i(t)^2 \\[0.75em] \text{output}_i(t) &= \sqrt{\frac{S_{\text{down},i}(t)} {1 - \lambda_v^{n_i(t)}}} \end{aligned} \]

where \(\hat\beta_i(t)\) is the EWMA beta estimated with decay \(\lambda_\beta = \exp(-\ln(2)/\text{beta\_half\_life})\), \(\lambda_v = \exp(-\ln(2)/\text{half\_life})\) and \(n_i(t)\) is the number of valid returns for asset \(i\). The zero-initialized residual variance accumulator is bias-corrected at output time using each asset’s valid observation count.

This measures stock-specific downside risk after removing market exposure.

Parameters:
half_lifefloat, default=40.0

EWMA half-life in observations for the residual variance estimator.

beta_half_lifefloat, default=60.0

EWMA half-life in observations for the beta estimator.

min_acceptable_returnfloat, default=0.0

Threshold below which residuals are considered “downside”. The default of 0.0 defines downside as negative residuals (losses after removing market exposure).

min_periodsint, optional

Minimum number of valid returns required for each asset. Until an asset reaches this count, its output is NaN. This warm-up period avoids exposing early EWMA values before the downside residual volatility estimate has sufficiently converged from its zero initialization. If None, defaults to \(\lceil\max(\text{half\_life}, \text{beta\_half\_life})\rceil\), with a minimum of 1.

epsfloat, default=1e-12

Small constant for numerical stability in \(1 / \text{Var}(r_m)\) when computing beta.

Attributes:
n_assets_int

Number of assets seen during fitting.

asset_names_ndarray of shape (n_assets,)

Asset names seen during fitting.

residual_volatility_ndarray of shape (n_assets,)

Last computed EWMA downside residual volatility. Contains NaN for inactive assets and assets that have not reached min_periods valid returns.

Methods

fit_transform(X[, y])

Compute exponentially weighted CAPM residual volatility.

get_metadata_routing()

Get metadata routing of this object.

get_params([deep])

Get parameters for this estimator.

partial_fit_transform(X[, y])

Update EWMA state and return residual volatility for this batch.

set_params(**params)

Set the parameters of this estimator.

See also

EWResidualVolatility

Total (non-downside) variant.

Notes

NaNs are treated as missing observations. Active assets with missing returns keep their previous asset-specific EWMA state; inactive assets output NaN and restart their warm-up period when they become active again. Non-missing returns must be finite.

Market returns are computed from the estimation universe (estimation_mask of AssetPanel). If no estimable asset has both finite returns and finite market_cap at an observation, the market return is undefined and a ValueError is raised.

Examples

>>> from skfolio.datasets import make_synthetic_characteristics
>>> from skfolio.descriptor import EWResidualDownsideVolatility
>>>
>>> X = make_synthetic_characteristics()
>>>
>>> # Downside residual volatility (losses only)
>>> descriptor = EWResidualDownsideVolatility()
>>> residual_downside_volatility = descriptor.fit_transform(X)
>>>
>>> # Custom threshold
>>> descriptor = EWResidualDownsideVolatility(min_acceptable_return=-0.01)
>>> residual_downside_volatility = descriptor.fit_transform(X)
fit_transform(X, y=None, **fit_params)#

Compute exponentially weighted CAPM residual volatility.

Parameters:
XAssetPanel

Input panel containing returns and market_cap.

yNone

Ignored. Present for compatibility with scikit-learn’s API.

**fit_paramsdict

Additional fit parameters. Ignored.

Returns:
residual_volatilityndarray of shape (n_observations, n_assets)

Residual return volatility for each observation and asset.

get_metadata_routing()#

Get metadata routing of this object.

Please check User Guide on how the routing mechanism works.

Returns:
routingMetadataRequest

A MetadataRequest encapsulating routing information.

get_params(deep=True)#

Get parameters for this estimator.

Parameters:
deepbool, default=True

If True, will return the parameters for this estimator and contained subobjects that are estimators.

Returns:
paramsdict

Parameter names mapped to their values.

partial_fit_transform(X, y=None, **fit_params)#

Update EWMA state and return residual volatility for this batch.

This method supports online updates by continuing from the current fitted state. Use fit_transform to start from a clean state.

Parameters:
XAssetPanel

Input panel containing returns and market_cap.

yNone

Ignored. Present for compatibility with scikit-learn’s API.

**fit_paramsdict

Additional fit parameters. Ignored.

Returns:
residual_volatilityndarray of shape (n_observations, n_assets)

Residual return volatility for each observation and asset.

set_params(**params)#

Set the parameters of this estimator.

The method works on simple estimators as well as on nested objects (such as Pipeline). The latter have parameters of the form <component>__<parameter> so that it’s possible to update each component of a nested object.

Parameters:
**paramsdict

Estimator parameters.

Returns:
selfestimator instance

Estimator instance.